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Eurovision 2025 predictions: Who will win Eurovision this year?

Eurovision 2025 in Basel is less than 30 days away. Who will win Eurovision this year ? On this page, we bring you an overview of the bookmakers' favourites and an analysis of current trends based on the latest Eurovision 2025 predictions updates on the site eurovisionworld.com .

Please note that the graph is updated twice a day, not our comments 🙂 Add the site to your bookmarks to check the graphs regularly!


Sweden continues to rise: what if they were the big winners at Eurovision 2025?

Sweden has been in the lead, alone, since almost the beginning, with the victory of KAJ at Melodifestivalen at the beginning of March only confirmed the trend, and the pre-parties didn't change a thing. This Finnish group who sings the praises of the sauna in Swedish is still the talk of the town. Do we have our 2025 winner? KAJ is now in the lead with over 35% chance of victory, almost as much as Loreen two years ago at the same time.

Austria, a second potential winner at Eurovision 2025

JJ, the Austrian candidate, is losing ground. His chances of victory fell below 20%. And yet he dazzled us with his song ‘Wasted Love’! Wasted Love was written by Teya (Eurovision 2023) and produced by Pele Loriano (whose work includes Watergun from Remo Forrer in 2023 and Answer me from Gjon's Tears in 2020). With a melody that's both ethereal and epic, backed up by incredible vocals and a completely mad finale, this pop opera worthy of Nemo last year remains a serious contender for victory.


Eurovision 2025 Prediction chart, updated twice a day and limited to the TOP 7 for greater clarity.. Dataset: Eurovisionworld.com

% gained % lost

Variation in win probabilities over 5 days. Data source: Eurovisionworld.com


Israel, France, the Netherlands and Finland stable

France's chances of victory with "maman" from Louane are now around 10% in 3rd position. Next is Yuval Raphael for Israel, Claude for the Netherlands, Erika Vikman for Finland and Tommy Cash for Estonia.

All five have lost a little ground to the two favourites, but their chances of winning (according to the bookmakers) Eurovision 2025 have not changed much in the last month. Even the pre-parties haven't managed to change anything. It's almost boring!

And at the bottom of the ranking?

At the bottom of the league table, Red Sebastian finally manages to break through, while Shkodra Elektronike for Albania, have maintained a solid and stable position over the past month. The Czech Republic (Adonxs) for Albania, have maintained a solid and stable position over the past month. The Czech Republic (

Eurovision 2025 Prediction Chart, updated twice a day and limited to the last 30 positions . Dataset: Eurovisionworld.com


Who will win Eurovision 2025?

Eurovision 2025 is less than 20 days away. KAJ and JJ remain two serious contenders for Eurovision victory. One, with his pure voice, should win the jury's vote, and the other, with his light, festive side, the public's vote. Louane remains a serious contender for victory, and could spring a surprise with an intimate setting à la Barbara Pravi that Eurovision loves!

What are your Eurovision 2025 predictions and who do you think will win Eurovision 2025? Tell us in the comments below or on our networks!

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