Eurovision 2025 odds: predictions before the grand final

Analysis updated on the morning of May 16, before the final.

That's it! We have our 20 finalists at the end of Semi-Final 2. Bookmakers conntinue to bet on the odds of winning Eurovision 2025, and their predictions keep fluctuating. On this page, we give you an overview of the bookmakers' favorites and our analysis of current trends, based on the latest Eurovision 2025 prediction updates on the site. eurovisionworld.com.

The graph is updated every hour until the final.

---

Eurovision's top predictor: Sweden (qualified), with a 40% chance of victory!

Sweden has been in the lead, alone, since almost the beginning, with the victory of KAJ at Melodifestivalen in early March only confirmed the trend. Neither the pre-parties nor the rehearsals this week have changed that. This Finnish band who sings the praises of the sauna in Swedish is still the talk of the town. Do we have our 2025 winner? More than 40 % chances of victory, almost as many as Loreen two years ago at the same time. That's huge! And it doesn't look like it's going to change!

Eurovision predictions #2: Austria around 22%

JJthe Austrian candidate, lost ground to KAJ. We thought he might overtake them, but his less festive title than KAJ's seems to be less well received by the public. He remains in second place, with a 22 % chance of victory. His title Wasted Love was written by Teya (Eurovision 2023) and produced by Pele Loriano (whose work includes Watergun from Remo Forrer in 2023 and Answer me from Gjon's Tears in 2020).

With a melody that is both ethereal and epic, supported by an incredible voice and a completely mad finale, this pop opera worthy of Nemo last year. He will of course select himself in the second semi-final on Thursday evening. In the final, he could pick up the 12 points awarded by the jury. He remains a serious contender for victory.

---

Eurovision 2025 Prediction chart, updated twice a day and limited to the TOP 7 for greater clarity.. Dataset: Eurovisionworld.com

Variation in win probabilities over 5 days. Data source: Eurovisionworld.com

---

3rd Eurovision predictions: it's between the Netherlands, France and Israel

Claudethe candidate who qualified the Netherlands for the final (he sings "C'est la vie » in French) is in a dead heat with Louane with "maman » and with Israel. Erika Vikman (Finland) and Tommy Cash (Estonia) close the TOP 7!

And at the bottom of the ranking?

At the bottom of the ranking, there is a tie at 2% between Shkodra Elektronike (Albania) and Zoë Më (Switzerland Tommy Cash (Estonia) followed by around ten countries in the 1%. All in all, it's going to be a tight race, and there are going to be plenty of surprises (and disappointments) in store!

Eurovision 2025 Prediction Chart, updated twice a day and limited to the last 30 positions . Dataset: Eurovisionworld.com

---

And who do you see winning Eurovision 2025?

Eurovision 2025 has started! KAJ and JJ remain two serious contenders for Eurovision victory. One, with his pure voice, should win the jury's vote, and the other, with his light, festive side, the public's vote. Louane remains a serious contender for victory, too, and could spring a surprise with an intimate setting à la Barbara Pravi that Eurovision loves!

What are your Eurovision 2025 predictions and who do you think will win Eurovision 2025? Tell us in the comments below or on our networks!